Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
2026-08-15 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-08-15. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.44, Chicago Cubs 3.96. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 47%, St. Louis Cardinals 53%. Projected total runs: 8.39.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.4
Predicted runs
53% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.0
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.