Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
2026-08-16 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-08-16. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.45, Chicago Cubs 4.93. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 56%, St. Louis Cardinals 44%. Projected total runs: 9.38.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.5
Predicted runs
44% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.9
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.