Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-07-18 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-07-18. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.39, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.2. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 60%, St. Louis Cardinals 40%. Projected total runs: 7.6.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.4
Predicted runs
40% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.2
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.