Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:42 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-19 · Chase Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-07-19. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.91, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.93. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 50%, St. Louis Cardinals 50%. Projected total runs: 7.83.

St. Louis Cardinals
3.9
Predicted runs
50% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.9
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.