Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins
2026-04-20 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.09, Miami Marlins 3.7. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 58%, St. Louis Cardinals 42%. Projected total runs: 6.79.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Miami Marlins
3.7
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 6.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
