Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins
2026-04-22 · 12:10 PM ET · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 2.84, Miami Marlins 3.29. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 56%, St. Louis Cardinals 44%. Projected total runs: 6.13.
St. Louis Cardinals
2.8
Predicted runs
44% to win
Miami Marlins
3.3
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 6.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.