Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets
2026-06-09 · 07:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-09. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.22, New York Mets 4.72. Model win probability: New York Mets 56%, St. Louis Cardinals 44%. Projected total runs: 8.94.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.2
Predicted runs
44% to win
New York Mets
4.7
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
