Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets
2026-06-11 · 01:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-11. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.5, New York Mets 4.8. Model win probability: New York Mets 54%, St. Louis Cardinals 46%. Projected total runs: 9.3.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
New York Mets
4.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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