Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-08 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-08. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.66, San Diego Padres 4.74. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 51%, St. Louis Cardinals 49%. Projected total runs: 9.4.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
San Diego Padres
4.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.