Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-10 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-10. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 5.93, San Diego Padres 4.87. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 42%, St. Louis Cardinals 58%. Projected total runs: 10.8.
St. Louis Cardinals
5.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
San Diego Padres
4.9
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.