Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-21 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.8, Philadelphia Phillies 4.97. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 63%, St. Louis Cardinals 37%. Projected total runs: 8.76.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.8
Predicted runs
37% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.0
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.