Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-22 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.92, Philadelphia Phillies 5.4. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 56%, St. Louis Cardinals 44%. Projected total runs: 10.32.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.9
Predicted runs
44% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.4
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 10.3 runs
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