Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-23 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-23. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.06, Philadelphia Phillies 5.13. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 62%, St. Louis Cardinals 38%. Projected total runs: 9.19.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.1
Predicted runs
38% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.1
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.