Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-04-27 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-04-27. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.43, Pittsburgh Pirates 6.47. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 68%, St. Louis Cardinals 32%. Projected total runs: 10.9.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.4
Predicted runs
32% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
6.5
Predicted runs
68% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.