Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-04-29 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 5.3, Pittsburgh Pirates 6.17. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 58%, St. Louis Cardinals 42%. Projected total runs: 11.46.
St. Louis Cardinals
5.3
Predicted runs
42% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
6.2
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 11.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.