Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-05-22 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.69, Cincinnati Reds 5.82. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 61%, St. Louis Cardinals 39%. Projected total runs: 10.51.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.7
Predicted runs
39% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.8
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 10.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.