Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-05-23 · 01:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.34, Cincinnati Reds 6.26. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 67%, St. Louis Cardinals 33%. Projected total runs: 10.6.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.3
Predicted runs
33% to win
Cincinnati Reds
6.3
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.