Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds (Game 2)
2026-05-23 · 7:15 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (Game 2) at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 6.18, Cincinnati Reds 7.4. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 60%, St. Louis Cardinals 40%. Projected total runs: 13.58.
St. Louis Cardinals
6.2
Predicted runs
40% to win
Cincinnati Reds
7.4
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 13.6 runs
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