Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-05-24 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.78, Cincinnati Reds 4.69. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 49%, St. Louis Cardinals 51%. Projected total runs: 9.47.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.