Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds (Game 2)
2026-08-17 · 6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (Game 2) at Great American Ball Park on 2026-08-17. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 5.36, Cincinnati Reds 3.91. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 37%, St. Louis Cardinals 63%. Projected total runs: 9.27.
St. Louis Cardinals
5.4
Predicted runs
63% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.9
Predicted runs
37% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.