Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-08-19 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-08-19. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.76, Cincinnati Reds 4.63. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 49%, St. Louis Cardinals 51%. Projected total runs: 9.39.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.