Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-08-20 · 12:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-08-20. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.29, Cincinnati Reds 3.78. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 45%, St. Louis Cardinals 55%. Projected total runs: 8.07.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.