Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals
2026-06-21 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 5.16, Kansas City Royals 4.26. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 44%, St. Louis Cardinals 56%. Projected total runs: 9.42.
St. Louis Cardinals
5.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.3
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.