Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees
2026-08-04 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.15, New York Yankees 4.47. Model win probability: New York Yankees 54%, St. Louis Cardinals 46%. Projected total runs: 8.62.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.