Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
2026-05-12 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.78, Atlanta Braves 3.89. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 52%, Chicago Cubs 48%. Projected total runs: 7.67.
Chicago Cubs
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Atlanta Braves
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
