Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-30 · 07:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-30. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.85, St. Louis Cardinals 4.3. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 46%, Chicago Cubs 54%. Projected total runs: 9.16.
Chicago Cubs
4.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.