Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-31 · 07:20 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-31. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.23, St. Louis Cardinals 4.23. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 51%, Chicago Cubs 49%. Projected total runs: 8.46.
Chicago Cubs
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.2
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.