Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-27 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-27. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.26, St. Louis Cardinals 4.38. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 43%, Chicago Cubs 57%. Projected total runs: 9.64.
Chicago Cubs
5.3
Predicted runs
57% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.