Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-28 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.73, St. Louis Cardinals 4.11. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 43%, Chicago Cubs 57%. Projected total runs: 8.84.
Chicago Cubs
4.7
Predicted runs
57% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.1
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.