Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-30 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-30. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.81, St. Louis Cardinals 3.8. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 39%, Chicago Cubs 61%. Projected total runs: 8.61.
Chicago Cubs
4.8
Predicted runs
61% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.8
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.