Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-08-24 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-08-24. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.83, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.97. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 42%, Chicago Cubs 58%. Projected total runs: 10.8.
Chicago Cubs
5.8
Predicted runs
58% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.0
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.