Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-08-25 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-08-25. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.33, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.05. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 46%, Chicago Cubs 54%. Projected total runs: 10.38.
Chicago Cubs
5.3
Predicted runs
54% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.0
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.