Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners
2026-08-21 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.6, Seattle Mariners 4.05. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 46%, Chicago Cubs 54%. Projected total runs: 8.65.
Chicago Cubs
4.6
Predicted runs
54% to win
Seattle Mariners
4.0
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.