Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets
2026-06-23 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-23. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.44, New York Mets 4.81. Model win probability: New York Mets 54%, Chicago Cubs 46%. Projected total runs: 9.25.
Chicago Cubs
4.4
Predicted runs
46% to win
New York Mets
4.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.