Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets
2026-06-24 · 01:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.93, New York Mets 4.08. Model win probability: New York Mets 51%, Chicago Cubs 49%. Projected total runs: 8.01.
Chicago Cubs
3.9
Predicted runs
49% to win
New York Mets
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.