Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
2026-08-11 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.98, Washington Nationals 4.48. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 45%, Chicago Cubs 55%. Projected total runs: 9.46.
Chicago Cubs
5.0
Predicted runs
55% to win
Washington Nationals
4.5
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.