Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
2026-08-12 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.39, Washington Nationals 4.76. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 54%, Chicago Cubs 46%. Projected total runs: 9.15.
Chicago Cubs
4.4
Predicted runs
46% to win
Washington Nationals
4.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.