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Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

2026-08-12

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.26, Washington Nationals 5. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 58%, Chicago Cubs 42%. Projected total runs: 9.26.

Chicago Cubs
4.3
Predicted runs
42% to win
Washington Nationals
5.0
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs

Tonight's Edges

Best Moneyline Value
Washington Nationals -120
+6.4% edge
Total Edge
Over 8.8
+4.1% edge

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.

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