Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
2026-08-13 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-08-13. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.52, Washington Nationals 4.88. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 44%, Chicago Cubs 56%. Projected total runs: 10.4.
Chicago Cubs
5.5
Predicted runs
56% to win
Washington Nationals
4.9
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.