Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-07-07 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-07-07. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.63, Baltimore Orioles 3.65. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 51%, Chicago Cubs 49%. Projected total runs: 7.29.
Chicago Cubs
3.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Baltimore Orioles
3.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.