Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-07-08 · 06:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.45, Baltimore Orioles 3.78. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 54%, Chicago Cubs 46%. Projected total runs: 7.23.
Chicago Cubs
3.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Baltimore Orioles
3.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.