Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-07-09 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-07-09. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.89, Baltimore Orioles 4.15. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 53%, Chicago Cubs 47%. Projected total runs: 8.03.
Chicago Cubs
3.9
Predicted runs
47% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.2
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.