Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
2026-04-27 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-04-27. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.48, San Diego Padres 3.56. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 33%, Chicago Cubs 67%. Projected total runs: 9.04.
Chicago Cubs
5.5
Predicted runs
67% to win
San Diego Padres
3.6
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.