Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
2026-04-28 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 6.07, San Diego Padres 3.49. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 27%, Chicago Cubs 73%. Projected total runs: 9.57.
Chicago Cubs
6.1
Predicted runs
73% to win
San Diego Padres
3.5
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.