Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
2026-04-29 · 04:10 PM ET · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 6.4, San Diego Padres 4.67. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 36%, Chicago Cubs 64%. Projected total runs: 11.06.
Chicago Cubs
6.4
Predicted runs
64% to win
San Diego Padres
4.7
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 11.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.