Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-25 · 01:35 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-25. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.53, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.98. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 56%, Chicago Cubs 44%. Projected total runs: 7.5.
Chicago Cubs
3.5
Predicted runs
44% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.0
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.