Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-26 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 2.77, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.14. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 67%, Chicago Cubs 33%. Projected total runs: 6.91.
Chicago Cubs
2.8
Predicted runs
33% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.1
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
