Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 10:13 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-05-26 · PNC Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 2.77, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.14. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 67%, Chicago Cubs 33%. Projected total runs: 6.91.

Chicago Cubs
2.8
Predicted runs
33% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.1
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.