Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-27 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-27. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 3.06, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.47. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 65%, Chicago Cubs 35%. Projected total runs: 7.53.
Chicago Cubs
3.1
Predicted runs
35% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.5
Predicted runs
65% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.