Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-07-24 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-07-24. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.53, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.62. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 51%, Chicago Cubs 49%. Projected total runs: 9.15. Final score: Chicago Cubs 3, Pittsburgh Pirates 2.
Chicago Cubs
3
Final
Predicted 4.5
49% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
Final
Predicted 4.6
51% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.