Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-07-26 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-07-26. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.63, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.92. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 53%, Chicago Cubs 47%. Projected total runs: 9.55.
Chicago Cubs
4.6
Predicted runs
47% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.