Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-07-10 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-07-10. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.95, Cincinnati Reds 4.6. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 39%, Chicago Cubs 61%. Projected total runs: 10.55.
Chicago Cubs
6.0
Predicted runs
61% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.6
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.